The 85th Annual Academy Awards: Who Will/Should Win
Tonight is the 85th Annual Academy Awards. I have hopes that this will be a really entertaining telecast. Seth MacFarlane is hosting. He is the creator of Family Guy, American Dad, and The Cleveland Show. And of course, the hit summer comedy, Ted. He is an odd choice and it seems they are desperately trying to lure in younger viewers. I think he will do a great job. He will bring the edge, but he has an appreciation for old Hollywood, that I think he will also bring to the Kodak stage. We also have the Oscar debut of Adele, who will be performing her probably Oscar winning original song, "Skyfall," a tribute to James Bond, and the cast of Les Misérables performing together. Now, without further adieu, here are my Oscar predictions, who I think will win and who I think should win.
Best Picture
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Will Win: Argo. Turns out a Best Director snub was the best thing that could have happened to Ben Affleck. His movie has won the majority of the pre-Oscar prizes, so expect it to take top honors tonight.
Should Win: Silver Linings Playbook. I've seen it twice and each time I get something new from it. The Academy must agree since all four leads are nominated and Jennifer Lawrence is the favorite to take home the Best Actress statuette.
Will Win: Argo. Turns out a Best Director snub was the best thing that could have happened to Ben Affleck. His movie has won the majority of the pre-Oscar prizes, so expect it to take top honors tonight.
Should Win: Silver Linings Playbook. I've seen it twice and each time I get something new from it. The Academy must agree since all four leads are nominated and Jennifer Lawrence is the favorite to take home the Best Actress statuette.
Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis in Lincoln
Hugh Jackman in Les Misérables
Joaquin Phoenix in The Master
Denzel Washington in Flight
Will/Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis. Come on. There is no way that Day-Lewis won't walk away tonight with his third Oscar in this category. He embodied our 16th President in a way that I have never seen another actor do. His dedication will be rewarded tonight.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin in Argo
Robert De Niro in Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Master
Tommy Lee Jones in Lincoln
Christoph Waltz in Django Unchained
Will Win: Robert De Niro. It seems like it has been a long time since Robert De Niro has made a legit good movie. In SLP, he reminds audiences and voters of the actor who made The Deer Hunter, Taxi Driver, and Raging Bull, rather than the actor from the Focker movies.
Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones. In a movie packed with powerhouse performances, it was Jones' that really stuck with me. He was fiery and full of passion and was a great counterpart for Day-Lewis' quiet, subtle, more introspective performance.
Actress in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva in Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis in Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts in The Impossible
Will Win/Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence. The 22-year-old showed poise and grit as the lonely, slightly messed up widow in Silver Linings Playbook. Lawrence lost her first Oscar, but I have a feeling she will pick this up. There are two potential spoilers: Jessica Chastain and Emmanuelle Riva, who turns 86 on Oscar night.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in The Master
Sally Field in Lincoln
Anne Hathaway in Les Misérables
Helen Hunt in The Sessions
Jacki Weaver in Silver Linings Playbook
Will/Should Win: Anne Hathaway. Along with Day-Lewis, this is the closet thing to an Oscar night sure thing. Hathaway has pretty much swept the pre-Oscar prizes, so expect her to pick this up tonight and deservedly so.
Animated Feature Film
Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman
The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Wreck-It Ralph
Will/Should Win: Wreck-It Ralph. Brave is a touching, powerful mother/daughter story, but I think the Oscar will go to the video game fantasy about a guy who isn't bad, he's just pixelated that way.
Directing
Amour - Michael Haneke
Beasts of the Southern Wild - Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi - Ang Lee
Lincoln - Steven Spielberg
Silver Linings Playbook - David O. Russell
Will Win: Ang Lee. This is a tough category, because some of the most deserving directors like Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were snubbed. Lee had a tough job. He had to direct kids, water, animals, real and fake and he pulled it off. The book was called 'unfilmable', so I think the voters will reward him for this accomplishment.
Should Win: David O. Russell. SLP is the best movie I saw all year. I have seen it twice and each time I've watched it, I see new things. The nuances and the performances that Russell coaxes out of all of his main characters are phenomenal. I'm hoping that he pulls it out.
Music (Original Song)
"Before My Time" from Chasing Ice; music and lyric by J. Ralph
"Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from Ted; music by Walter Murphy, lyric by Seth Macfarlane
"Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi; music by Michael Danna, lyric by Bombay Jayashri
"Skyfall" from Skyfall; music and lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
"Suddenly" from Les Misérables; music by Claude Michel-Schoenberg, lyric by Herbert Kretzmer & Alain Boublil
Will/Should Win: Adele. James Bond. 'Nuff said.
So, there you go. Watch the Oscars tonight, then come back here and berate me for all the ones I got wrong, or praise me for the ones I got right. Enjoy.